Here are some things I am watching for March of 2009:
- Another auto bailout? General Motors GM and Chrysler have already received 17.4 billion in Federal Loans and are asking for an additional 21.6 Billion. President Barack Obama's auto task force is trying to restructure GM and Chrysler by March 31. If GM and Chrysler fail to make a convincing case, the administration could pull the loans and essentially force the companies into bankruptcy protection.
- Jobs Report - Unemployment Rate - 3/6/09: Friday, March 6, 2009, the Government will release employment data. We could be looking at a record 700,000+ job losses in the month of February.
- Where will the bottom be for the stock market? Who knows! The fact that we closed under 741 on the S&P 500 and below 7100 on the Dow Jones has me thinking things could get worse soon. The market wants to rally as we are very oversold but the steady flow of bad news keeps flooding the stock market. The crazy thing is the VIX has remained in the 40's through this whole down draft. You just don't see the panic like we had in late 2008. With the huge down move that we've seen since the beginning of 2008, I can't imagine the bottom will form easily. I'm still looking for that gigantic whoosh day where everyone throws in the towel. Also known as capitulation! When we get this, you could see a 30-40% move off the bottom.